Where in Sweden are the northern lights most likely?
In the record, Kiruna had a good night in 44% of March nights, more than twice the 19% of Abisko. A good night has at least one hour that is dark, clear and active enough for the aurora, counted hour by hour from 1995 to 2025.
Good nights by month in Sweden
Both Swedish places have their best month in March. Kiruna stays ahead in every month with darkness: in December it had 36% against 13% for Abisko, and in October 34% against 11%.
Kiruna's March stands out from its own winter: the share jumps from 34% in February to 44% in March, because the cloud thins while the nights are still long.
| Place | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abisko | 13 | 17 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Kiruna | 34 | 34 | 44 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 36 |
What stops the aurora in Sweden
Cloud, at both places. In March it took 78% of nights at Abisko and 49% at Kiruna.
The Abisko figure needs a warning. The weather model works on cells about 31 km across, and the cell used for Abisko lies 11 km from the village. One cell averages mountains and the lake shore, so clear patches smaller than the cell can be missed. The Abisko page sets out what the local sources claim and what this record can and cannot show.
| Place | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abisko | 84 | 81 | 78 | 35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 84 | 86 | 85 | 83 |
| Kiruna | 59 | 61 | 49 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 58 | 59 | 57 | 54 |
When the dark season ends in Sweden
In April, 56% of Abisko nights and 52% of Kiruna nights had no dark hour. From May to July neither place had a single dark hour in the record. Darkness returns in August, when 4% of Kiruna's nights were already good.
A longer stay in Sweden
Five nights in a row in March gave at least one good night 92 times in 100 in Kiruna and 56 times in 100 at Abisko. All ten places side by side: how many nights do I need.
Place pages in Sweden
Northern lights tours in Sweden
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